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AOM Screener 1/14/2013

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by Shiv Kapoor
Quant & AOM Editor
Gurgaon, India  (DYDD)

Neuro Screener 1/14/2013

I am searching for a stock, listed in US and of US incorporation, with a market capitalization of over $20 billion.

I used the NeuroScreener to produce a list of stocks of US incorporation with market capitalization of over $20 billion having a NeuroScore of between 75 and 85.

This is the list: BLK ABT QCOM SYK MA VIAB JPM HAL GOOG.

It is earnings season; a risky time to trade.  Expectations get built into the run up to earnings; meeting expectations is not enough for further price gains.  So I want to narrow down the selection to stocks where expectations are low.  What I am looking for is

reasonable valuations with mediocre to weak technical.

So delving in a bit deeper, I look at NeuroQuote and find:

  • BLK: Valuation is appealing, but the technical picture is too strong; suggesting much of the good news is priced.
  • ABT: Valuation is appealing, technical are mediocre.  But on account of the recent spin off of Abbvie, I’d shy away from this company until there is a better track on how the stand alone pharmaceutical business will perform.
  • QCOM: Decent valuation, with mediocre technical conditions.
  • SYK: Valuation appealing, but the technical picture is too strong; suggesting much of the good news is priced.
  • MA: Valuation is not at all appealing, while the technical picture is too strong.
  • VIAB: Valuation is appealing, but the technical picture is strong.
  • JPM: Valuation is appealing, but the technical picture is too strong.
  • HAL: Valuation is appealing, but the technical picture is strong.
  • GOOG: Valuation is appealing, technical picture is mediocre.

So I am down to two; QCOM and GOOG.  I like both. Comparing the thirty eight criteria used by AOM one on one for the two stocks, gives GOOG a slight edge.  Both QCOM and GOOG are low beta stocks (1.03 & 1.04 respectively). Both stand to gain from the mobile era and have similar long term growth expectations.  QCOM is the better priced stock and it’s my pick.

Investing is a process, not an action. It starts with stock selection (NeuroScreener), the next step is stock review (NeuroQuote), the third step is a price or value check and the final step is a pride of ownership test; I’d be happy to own GOOG & QCOM.


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